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thegoldwatcher.com search primary menu skip to content about me, the goldwatcher & the globewatcher climate notes disclaimer on investment advice sample page september 26th 2011 goldwatcher posting search for: central banks , debt supercycle , gold prices , inflation & deflation , supply & demand time for goldwatchers to follow keynes december 30, 2016 johnn katz # note added 25th march 2018 updating december 30th 2016 posting chart illustrating $ gold price since 2010 courtesy www.kitco.com the lbma annual forecasting competition, an essential and free information resource, has now been published for 2018 and is accessible on the following link. l ink to lbma 2018 forecasting competition with details of forecasts and explanations for opinions all forecasts are, of course, only guesses and depend on how domestic, political and geopolitical events will play out on the world stage. the forecasts for 2018 reveal strongly divided expectations with forecasts as low as $1120 and as high as $1510. the note on my proposed new book on gold has been deleted from the december 2016 posting that follows: sound motivation, good timing, good strategies and reliable current information are essential for all investment decisions. gold is no exception. my suggestions for now are to follow two of the late maynard keynes’s pithy suggestions: 1: successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others. 2: when the facts change i change my mind. what do you do sir ? goldwatcher 8th october comment re-posted: keynes on the economic consequences of the peace: “lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist system was to debauch the currency. by a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. “by this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some. the sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not only at security, but at confidence in the equity of the existing distribution of wealth.” chart £ – $ if you have found information in this blog useful please make a donation to the british red cross syria appeal global protectionism chart 1929/33 for president elect trump november 27, 2016 johnn katz central banks , debt supercycle , global , gold prices , supply & demand gold and an american nightmare november 2, 2016 johnn katz picture credit boomberg link to goldwatcher october 2015 posting on the bloomberg pessismist’s guide to the world in 2016 #content added 11th november 2016 president elect donald trump has spoken to the nation shortly after winning a bitterly contested campaign. his message included a call for binding up campaign wounds, national unity and even a tribute to hilary clinton, the lady he was going to jail, for her outstanding service to the nation. trump’s victory is testament to his ability to get things done. with the election having brought republican control to both houses of congress he will be free of politics blocking his plans for economic growth if his p[ans make sense. it will be a while before we have any real light from the trump administration on what his plans actually are, if they make sense and what consequences to expect for the us and global economies . gold remains on the agenda for investors . 11th november 2016 goldwatcher comment follows: will the american dream survive the clinton trump presidential election? whoever is elected we expect the time honoured response “the king is dead long live the king” will accompany any transition of power after the election. but what about the world monetary system dominated by the us dollar? if the world monetary system is challenged by a loss of faith in the new u.s. president there is no other national currency that will fill the void following a loss of faith in the dollar. if the american dream becomes a nightmare gold will again be of utility to investors hedging against currency risks – as it has already been this year for investors in the united kingdom following the plunge in the value of the £ sterling that followed the brexit upset. as i have written for this blog before and since the beginning of this year, for investor literacy.com and in a long series of tweets gold belongs on the agenda for investors when decisions are being made on asset allocation and on hedging against currency risks. this website is not advisory. material published is not intended as investment advice and may not be used as investment advice. please link to & read our disclaimer on investment advice if you find information in this blog useful please make a donation to the british red cross syria appeal . global , gold prices , supply & demand , uncategorized el-erian on gold and risk mitigation october 26, 2016 johnn katz the world gold council report el-erian commenting: “a growing number of investors are recognising the potential of gold to increase returns and improve risk-mitigation attributes of well-diversified portfolios.” mohamed el-erian is chairman of the white house global development council, chief economist at global insurer allianz, one of the the world’s premier bond investment firms and a leading commentator and author on investing, economics and finance. global , gold prices , inflation & deflation , uncategorized are we seeing the first signs of a return to inflation? october 21, 2016 johnn katz simon baptist, chief economist for the economist intelligence unit raises the question whether we are seeing first signs of a return to inflation in a twitter posting on @baptist_simon with a link to his current newsletter headlined the return of inflation where he writes : …”1 chinese factory gate prices ended their near five year run of declines, while in the uk producer price inflation reached a five year high of 1.2%. in bad news for uk firms producer input prices rose by an astonishing 7.2% implying a huge compression in average profit margins – and significant consumer price inflation (or bankruptcies) to come.” central banks , gold prices uk 1% inflation rise – the tip of an inflationary iceberg october 18, 2016 johnn katz commenting on the latest uk inflation figures dr andrew sentance,senior economic adviser at pwc, and former bank of england monetary policy committee member said: “inflation has risen to 1.0 percent this month, as expected. higher import prices are feeding through to consumers because of the fall in sterling since the eu referendum vote. this latest rise, however, is just the tip of the inflationary iceberg which is coming our way. since the beginning of september, sterling has fallen a further 8 percent or so against the euro and the dollar. this will continue to push up inflation in the months ahead. a stronger oil price will add further to price rises for energy and transport. “over the course of next year, we should expect inflation to rise above the bank of england’s 2 percent target. this will squeeze household spending power and add to the slowdown in the economy in 2017. pwc is forecasting a slowdown in growth to around 1% next year, with investment cutbacks reinforcing the slowdown in consumer spending.” link to pwc pressroom uncategorized frank holmes wins best fund manager award october 14, 2016 johnn katz the 2016 winners of the prestigious mining journal’s best america’s based fund manager award are goldwatcher co author frank holmes , chief executive and investment officer of us global investments/us funds with the fund’s portfolio manager ralph aldis cfa the award was decided based on fund metrics provided by morningstar. updating his long standing advice to investors to “anticipate before you participate” holmes quotes marcus du sautoy, professor of mathematics at the university of oxford : “ although the world looks messy and chaotic, if you translate it into the world of numbers and shapes, patterns emerge and

URL analysis for thegoldwatcher.com

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Whois Information

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Whois Server Version 2.0

Domain names in the .com and .net domains can now be registered
with many different competing registrars. Go to http://www.internic.net
for detailed information.

Domain Name: THEGOLDWATCHER.COM
Registrar: DOMAIN.COM, LLC
Sponsoring Registrar IANA ID: 886
Whois Server: whois.domain.com
Referral URL: http://www.domain.com
Name Server: NS0.PHASE8.NET
Name Server: NS1.PHASE8.NET
Name Server: NS2.PHASE8.NET
Status: clientDeleteProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientDeleteProhibited
Updated Date: 11-mar-2016
Creation Date: 19-mar-2007
Expiration Date: 19-mar-2018

>>> Last update of whois database: Fri, 07 Apr 2017 21:46:03 GMT <<<

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  REGISTRAR DOMAIN.COM, LLC

  REFERRER http://www.domain.com

SERVERS

  SERVER com.whois-servers.net

  ARGS domain =thegoldwatcher.com

  PORT 43

  SERVER whois.domain.com

  ARGS thegoldwatcher.com

  PORT 43

  TYPE domain

DOMAIN

  NAME thegoldwatcher.com

NSERVER

  NS0.PHASE8.NET 85.233.160.69

  NS1.PHASE8.NET 85.233.160.68

  NS2.PHASE8.NET 85.233.164.62

STATUS
clientDeleteProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientDeleteProhibited

  CHANGED 2016-03-11

  CREATED 2007-03-19

  EXPIRES 2018-03-19

  REGISTERED yes

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